Juvenile winner at Caulfield solidifies Shooting To Win's position among peers

Young sire shoots up the Australian General Sires' Table by Winners

The consistency Shooting To Win has shown this season deserves recognition having produced this season G1-placed colt Dom To Shoot, G3 winner Mascarpone, he has unbeaten Mystery Shot targeting The All-Star Mile in March and his daughter Ms Catherine on a G1 Oakleigh Plate campaign. 

Another daughter whose win brought her sire's achievements to the fore was Picarones, who on debut at Caulfield on Saturday, 26 December, raced away to win by one length in Godolphin's colours under the guidance of Damien Oliver.

Jumping with the nine-horse field from barrier five, Damien Oliver and Picarones took up a midfield position for the 1,200m journey. On the turn, the pair made their move shifting three-wide to round up the field and at the 200m mark the dynamic duo found their rhythm and took off to lead from the 50m mark and win impressively.

A 21 October foal, Picarones is out of the two-year-old G3 ATC Kindergarten Stakes-winning mare, Anise (General Nediym).


When we take a closer look at the Australian General Sires' table by Winners, we see Shooting To Win is just one winner behind hype stallions Toronado, Shamus Award and Epaulette and just two behind Exceed And Excel.

Stallion     Runners     Winners    
Exceed And Excel      144     40    
Shamus Award      126     39    
Toronado      106    39    
Epaulette      112     39    
Shooting To Win      99     38    

When analysing the performance of brothers Shooting To Win and Deep Field, we find that both are performing on par by Winners.

Below we see that assuming Shooting To Win (99) had the same number of runners as Deep Field (159), using Shooting To Win's Winners' rate (0.383), he would be sitting three winners ahead of where Deep Field is currently.

And for Deep Field, if he had the same amount of runners as Shooting To Win (99), using his Winners rate (0.358), at the same stage in the season Deep Field would be on 35 winners, three behind where Shooting To Win currently is.

Stallion     Runners     Winners    

Winners rate    

Predicted winners

Deep Field     159     57     0.358     0.358 x 99 = 35.44
Shooting To Win      99     38     0.383     0.383 x 159 = 60.89

WInners rate calculated: Winners divided by runners

Predicted winners calculated: Winners rate multiplied by brother's number of runners